000

ABNT20 KNHC 160544

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane

Paulette, located several hundred miles south of Cape Race,

Newfoundland, on Hurricane Sally, centered near the northern Gulf

coast, on Tropical Storm Teddy, located over the central tropical

Atlantic, and on Tropical Storm Vicky, located over the eastern

tropical Atlantic.

An area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of

Mexico is producing showers and thunderstorms that are showing some

signs of organization Upper-level winds are forecast to

gradually become more conducive for development, and a tropical

depression could form late this week while the low meanders over the

southern Gulf of Mexico for the next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure

located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde

Islands have changed little during the past several hours.

Environmental conditions are conducive for development of this

system, however, and a tropical depression is likely to form during

the next few days while the system moves generally westward at 10 to

15 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the far

northeastern Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles northeast of the

Azores. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics

while it moves southeastward and eastward at about 10 mph during

the next few days. For more information on this system, see

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO

header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at

metarea2

$$

Forecaster Blake